State Ownership Series — Part 2 of 4

Recruit Intel Research · 3-star and above commit tracking · 2018–2025 dataset

From our thread earlier this week: Georgia wins 19% of elite H2H battles in their home state. That makes them the clear owner. But 81% of Georgia's D1 players still leave. We said the talent pool is that deep. This article shows you exactly who's winning that other 81%.
81%
Georgia's D1 talent that exits the state. The lowest home-state capture rate of any major football state in the country.
21%
Elite pipeline school concentration. Second only to Florida — and Georgia has fewer D1 programs to absorb it.
14
Programs that landed 50+ Georgia commits from 2018 to 2025. Only 4 are in-state.

Georgia produces more elite high school football talent than almost anywhere in the country. The state has the second-highest concentration of pipeline schools nationally, a deep tradition of SEC-caliber recruiting, and a metro Atlanta corridor that generates D1 prospects at a rate comparable to South Florida.

But Georgia only has a handful of D1 programs. UGA takes the best. Georgia Tech, Georgia Southern, and Georgia State absorb volume. Then the rest — the majority — leave the state entirely. Every cycle, hundreds of Georgia-trained players sign with programs across the country, many of them going to programs that don't have a single full-time recruiter living in Georgia.

This is the single biggest market inefficiency in college football recruiting. Here's who's cashing in on it.

The Full Destination Breakdown

3-star and above Georgia commits, 2018–2025. In-state programs in bold.

Georgia
213
Georgia Tech
178
Ga. Southern
115
Auburn
94
Tennessee
91
South Carolina
88
Georgia State
81
North Carolina
74
Clemson
68
Vanderbilt
67
Florida State
66
Duke
61
Alabama
56
App. State
54

What This Data Is Telling You

The ACC Is Quietly Winning Georgia

North Carolina (74), Clemson (68), Florida State (66), and Duke (61) are all top-12 destinations for Georgia talent. Four ACC programs in the top 12. The conference corridor up I-85 is a real and established Georgia pipeline that most people underestimate.

Vanderbilt and Duke Are Here

Vanderbilt (67) and Duke (61) each land more Georgia players than Alabama (56). Both programs sell the academic profile as a genuine differentiator. For the right Georgia player, Nashville and Durham are real destinations — not consolation prizes.

App. State Is a G5 Template

Appalachian State lands 54 Georgia players — 14th in the country for Georgia talent. A G5 Sun Belt program. The template for what a mid-major can do in Georgia with a committed recruiting lane and a proximity advantage.

South Georgia Is Different

South Georgia has a 50% G5 win rate vs P4 in our dataset — a coin flip. Programs with a G5 profile that work South Georgia specifically compete on a completely different footing than programs parachuting into Atlanta for the weekend.

Vanderbilt and Duke each land more Georgia players than Alabama. The academic pitch works in Georgia. Most programs aren't making it.

The Bigger Picture

The Georgia exodus isn't a problem to be solved — it's an opportunity to be claimed. Every program in the country benefits from the fact that Georgia can't retain its own talent. But the programs extracting the most value are doing it deliberately, with dedicated recruiting lanes and established high school relationships built over multiple cycles.

Tennessee and South Carolina's numbers here are not an accident. Both programs have invested in Georgia infrastructure: coaches with Georgia ties, camps in Atlanta, consistent evaluation of pipeline schools in the southern part of the state. The result is 91 and 88 commits respectively over seven years. That's sustainable pipeline-level production.

For programs that aren't currently in the top 15 for Georgia talent — the window is open. Georgia produces too much for the existing programs to absorb. The question is whether you've built the relationships to be in the room when these players are deciding.

This is Part 2 of a 4-Part Series. Next: we ranked every major recruiting state by who owns it. The full national picture, and the states with no owner at all.